Rapidly warming Asia Pacific
Up in Smoke? Asia and the Pacific, released by Oxfam and others, focuses on the threat from climate change to around four billion people in the region and its environment. More than half live along the coast, exposing them to the fury of rising seas. Bangladesh, featuring prominently in the report, is currently trying to recover from the Cyclone Sidr.
Disruption to the region’s water cycle caused by climate change
also threatens the security and productivity of the food systems upon
which they depend. In acknowledgement, both of the key meetings in 2007
and 2008 to secure a global climate agreement will be in Asia.
The latest global scientific consensus from the Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) indicates that all of Asia is very
likely to warm during this century.
Warming will be accompanied by less predictable and more extreme
patterns of rainfall, including droughts and more extreme inundations.
Tropical cyclones are projected to increase in magnitude and frequency,
while monsoons, around which farming systems are designed, are expected
to become more temperamental in their strength and time of onset.
Ironically, if certain types of industrial pollution are reduced,
the temporary cooling effect that results from having blankets of smog,
could lead to very rapid warming. But existing projections are already
bad enough.
There is growing consensus about the current challenges facing
Asia and what is needed to tackle them. Many of these are elaborated in
this report. There is reason to hope. There is already enough knowledge
and understanding to know what the main causes of climate change are,
how to reduce future climate change, and how to begin to adapt.
This report, Up in Smoke? Asia and the Pacific,
looks at positive measures that are being taken – by governments, by
civil society and by people themselves – to reduce the causes of
climate change and to overcome its effects.
It gives examples of reduction in emission levels; alternative
water and energy supply systems; preservation of strategic ecosystems
and protected areas; increasing capacity awareness and skills for risk
and disaster management; and, the employment of effective regulatory
and policy instruments. The challenge is clear and many of the
solutions are known: the point is, to act.